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New oil refinery. A Chinese company is recruiting workers from Omsk to build a refinery

The mini-refinery business (refinery) has always been and remains the most profitable business. Demand for petroleum products is constantly high. First of all, they are used in:

  • shipping (fuel oil);
  • urban boiler houses (fuel oil, heating oil);
  • agriculture (fuel oil, diesel fuel, diesel fuel);
  • petrol stations (retail sale of gasoline).

For the success of a refinery, it is necessary to have an independent source of oil and access to railway. Then you can offer the market competitive prices for the products of your mini-factory.

Investment in the project

It is difficult to determine the approximate amount of investment in the business, but it is necessary to count on at least $15 million. The final amount depends on a number of factors, and above all on the scale of the project. To calculate the required amount, use the amount of costs that will be required to organize the three main components of the business:

  • source of oil;
  • logistics to the place of processing (railway or oil pipeline);
  • sales channels.

If it is possible to provide normal work all three components, it makes sense to build an oil refinery. It should be borne in mind that after the business plan is formed, it will take another year and a half to draw up and approve projects, various surveys and the actual construction. The invested investments are usually returned after three years from the start of operation of the mini-refinery.

Mini Format Features

When building a large oil refinery, you have to compete with state industries. And this is quite difficult, even when the competition is generally low. A mini-factory is much more profitable, since state structures do not consider it as a strong competitor. As a rule, refineries of this format are opened where oil production is small, and therefore the construction of a large-scale production is not economically profitable.

But the demand for petroleum products is everywhere, so in such places the refinery can cover the demand, including for related services. That is, the main products of the plant are:

  • various gasolines;
  • diesel fuel;
  • heating oil;
  • fuel oil;
  • solar oil.

At the same time, it is possible to provide oil refining services to small miners who produce from two to five tons of product per month. This is not an excise production, but it has the right to life, since there are a lot of similar miners developing old deposits throughout the country. The profitability of such a refinery will be about 50% per annum.

Production cycle

Practice shows that it is not necessary to include in the business plan of a refinery, in addition to oil refining, its production or marketing. finished products. Even as a related business, these areas only undermine the stability of the refinery. Therefore, it is better to work with independent oil companies, buying raw materials from them. Alternatively, you can participate in competitions of large oil companies for the purchase of raw materials. But they usually put up large lots.

It is also better to sell products through wholesale dealers. As a rule, the marketing of a plant is based on its specifics. But usually finished products are sold at a 100% prepayment on a self-delivery basis.

Logistics issues

Logistics is of key importance in the future business. When compiling a business plan, it is necessary to focus on one of the options delivery of raw materials:

  • Railway;
  • specialized pipeline.

Railway

The use of the railway as a transport link between the oil producing and oil refining industries has its advantages and disadvantages. Advantage railway transport in that there is usually no need to build a complete branch from the supplier of raw materials to the refinery. As a rule, it is possible to complete a branch to an already laid railway track. Moreover, you can build your own mini-factory on the site of the former production, where such a canvas has already been laid. This will reduce investments in logistics, allowing you to invest in other areas of enterprise development.

But both transport links and the production volumes of the plant as a whole must be calculated based on the capabilities of nearby oil producing enterprises. The calculation of the transport load will proceed from the fact that about 50 tons of oil are placed in one tank. They are delivered in trains of up to 50 wagons in one. That is, one composition can bring somewhere around 3 thousand tons of oil at a time for processing. From this volume of raw materials, the plant can produce about 50 thousand tons of oil products per month, which also need to be delivered to customers somehow. This will amount to about 500 thousand tons per year.

Pipeline

To be used as transport system pipeline, it is necessary to connect to the Transneft system. Moreover, the application for connection should not be addressed to her, but to the company for the extraction of raw materials. And all because mandatory conditions connection is the purchase of raw materials for at least a million tons per year. Not every miner can provide such volumes. And those who can already have contracts with larger refiners.

Design part of the plant

So, before building a plant, you need to decide on the capacity of your production and sign drafts of intent with suppliers, where the volumes of purchased raw materials will be agreed. Only after that you can proceed to the next stage - the preparation of a refinery business plan and a feasibility study for production. As already mentioned, these documents will be based on the actual possibilities of raw material supply volumes.

It is desirable that the plan and design of the plant be developed by one of the leading oil refineries, such as Shell. This will give reliability to your project and increase the loyalty of investors, sponsors, banks. Of course, this will increase the costs at the start, but as a result, it will provide an opportunity to get more working capital.

Place for construction

As for finding a place for the construction of a plant, it is best to look for an old abandoned tank farm. This minimizes the risks of closing your production due to the creation of an unfavorable environmental situation. As a rule, it is already there in a deplorable state. Another advantage is the well-established infrastructure. Usually, a railway line has already been laid to the base, there are overpasses. And investments in their repair, as a rule, are much lower than investments in construction. In addition, usually such places are equipped with conditions for storing raw materials and finished petroleum products, which also reduces the investment plan for the start of the project.

Another important nuance is that oil-producing companies usually already operate near such territories, which at one time worked out a scheme for supplying raw materials to the base. All these factors have a positive effect on financial plan your future refinery.

Sales of finished products

Again, if you build a plant on the territory of the former base, you can get a ready-made client network. It can be:

  • gas stations that cannot buy fuel from major manufacturers due to small sales volumes;
  • municipal authorities who need fuel for boilers;
  • small tank farms that need small wholesale lots.

The agricultural economy of the Ural-Siberian region is constantly experiencing difficulties with the supply of fuels and lubricants, which negatively affects the conduct of both seasonal and everyday field work. The unstable situation with the pricing of motor fuels, which lead to their annual increase, as well as the difficulty in obtaining loans for the purchase of fuels and lubricants, due to high interest rates, and thus the agricultural industry of the region becomes generally dependent on oil producers. The nearest oil refineries that supply oil products to the Sverdlovsk region are located in Ufa, Omsk, Samara.

Thus, the construction of its own oil refinery with the target task of uninterrupted supply of petroleum products to the entire agricultural sector of the Ural-Siberian region is overdue. It is proposed to build an oil refinery with a processing capacity of 4 (four) million tons of crude oil with the production of high-quality petroleum products, using new domestic technological projects with bringing the processing depth to 99%. The construction of the plant is planned in stages. Each stage provides for the commissioning of a capacity of one million tons of crude oil processing. The term for commissioning the plant at full capacity will be three years, the amount of investment for the full volume of construction is 36 billion rubles, the payback period from the start of the project will be 6 (six years), and from the start of production 3 (three) years. The choice of a site for the construction of the plant was determined in the Tyumen region, Nizhnetavdinsky district, the village of Torgili. The choice is based on the fact that in 1995 a feasibility study (Technical - economic justification) the developer of which was AOOT " Research and Design Institute of Oil Refining and petrochemical industry JSC "VNIPIneft", together with the German company "Linda", they chose this site due to the availability of related infrastructure, taking into account compliance with legal standards during construction and further operation, as well as taking into account environmental legislation. This project at one time passed the state expertise on environmental safety. The construction site is located 28 km in a straight line from the city of Tyumen. Near the site there is an oil pumping station LPDS "Torgili", which is part of the system of OJSC "AK" "Transneft". Three main oil pipelines approach LPDS "Torgili", the capacity of which allows you to freely receive raw materials (West Siberian oil) to the future refinery through the head station of LPDS "Torgili". In the area of ​​the site of the Torgilinsky oil refinery (refinery), there are three high-voltage power lines with free capacities. 1.5 km. from the site there is a railway connecting the north of the Tyumen region with the Trans-Siberian Railway, which, according to the conclusion design institute allows exporting by rail up to 20 million oil products per year. Suitable for the site highway, four kilometers away is a gas pipeline. Due to the fact that the refinery is located 28 kilometers from Tyumen, there is no need to build residential and social facilities for the plant's employees. There are specialists, both engineering and working, in Tyumen.

To date, the demand for the supply of oil products in the Ural-Siberian region is about eight million tons, and bitumen products up to 600 thousand tons. The planned plant will produce 90% of Euro-5 motor fuel products, as well as 9% road bitumen. Depth refinery processing will be 99%. After calculating with credit institutions(investors), the net profit of the enterprise will be 14 billion rubles. The supply of oil is planned under agreements with oil producing enterprises of the West Siberian region, with the possibility of further acquisition and development of their own fields. Guaranteed to all agricultural enterprises of the Ural region declared by the government Sverdlovsk region, the supply of petroleum products will be carried out at prices below market prices, but not below cost, on time in accordance with the approved schedules.

A land plot of 263.5 hectares was purchased for the construction of a plant. category of everything land plot: industrial land, permitted use: industrial zone (for the construction of an oil refinery). In the area of ​​​​the site of the Torgilinsky refinery, there are three lines of power lines with free capacities.

Introduction

Project management plan- one of the main and important documents of the project, referring to which you can understand:

  • how the project will be planned
  • how the project will be carried out
  • How will the project be monitored and managed?
  • How the project will be completed.

Project management is currently new wave management activities, which is taking an increasingly active position in solving problems that were previously the privilege of middle management.

In view of the increasingly active implementation of projects in the life of enterprises, it is now necessary to create special teams of project managers who are able to create and implement a project, successfully complete it and create conditions for the viability of everything that was created in the project.

Project management is used not only in the economy, but allows you to more effectively solve social, environmental, political, technical, psychological, international and other issues.

Construction of an oil refinery

The construction of an oil refinery can only be implemented by the largest players oil industry and practical market monopolists in the industry. The construction of an oil refinery is based on already existing oil fields, to which the owner of the future refinery has legitimate access.

It is extremely important that during the construction of an oil refinery, all norms, rules and technologies that can ensure the safety of future production are observed.

The specifics of the construction of an oil refinery

Oil refineries are industrial enterprises, which are engaged in the processing of oil into kerosene, gasoline, diesel fuel, fuel oil, lubricating oils, petroleum coke, bitumen and petrochemical raw materials.

The scale of construction of such plants depends, first of all, on: the chosen option for oil refining (it will be a fuel, fuel-petrochemical and fuel-oil processing method);

  • · planned volumes of oil refining (as a rule, in million tons);
  • · and the depth of processing (the final yield of oil in terms of oil).

These indicators most accurately characterize the specifics of the refinery, so they should be taken into account when planning and organizing construction.

At all stages of construction should be created the necessary conditions for the implementation of the mandatory stages of oil refining, including the main ones:

  • preparation of raw materials;
  • distillation (primary processing);
  • · cracking - secondary processing of raw materials;
  • Hydrotreating - one of the most important stages of oil refining;
  • formation of finished products (diesel fuel, gasoline, oil, etc.)

Let's consider each of these stages in more detail.

First, oil is dehydrated and desalted in special installations to separate salts and other impurities that cause equipment corrosion, slow down cracking and reduce the quality of refined products. No more than 3-4 mg / l of salts and about 0.1% of water remain in the oil. Then the oil goes to the primary distillation.

Primary processing-distillation:

Liquid petroleum hydrocarbons have different boiling points. Distillation is based on this property. When heated in a distillation column to 350 °C, various fractions are separated from the oil sequentially with an increase in temperature. Oil at the first refineries was distilled into the following fractions: straight-run gasoline (it boils away in the temperature range of 28–180°C), jet fuel (180–240°C) and diesel fuel (240–350°C). The remainder of the oil distillation was fuel oil. Before late XIX centuries it was thrown away as waste products. For the distillation of oil, five distillation columns are usually used, in which various oil products are sequentially separated. The yield of gasoline during the primary distillation of oil is insignificant, therefore, its secondary processing is carried out to obtain a larger volume of automotive fuel.

Recycling-cracking:

Secondary oil refining is carried out by thermal or chemical catalytic splitting of products of primary oil distillation to obtain a larger amount of gasoline fractions, as well as raw materials for subsequent

obtaining aromatic hydrocarbons - benzene, toluene and others. One of the most common technologies of this cycle is cracking.

In 1891, engineers V. G. Shukhov and S. P. Gavrilov proposed the world's first industrial installation for the continuous implementation of a thermal cracking process: a tubular reactor continuous action where forced circulation of fuel oil or other heavy oil feedstock is carried out through the pipes, and heated flue gases are fed into the annulus. The yield of light components during the cracking process, from which gasoline, kerosene, diesel fuel can then be prepared, ranges from 40-45 to 55-60%. The cracking process makes it possible to produce components from fuel oil for the production of lubricating oils.

Catalytic cracking was discovered in the 1930s. The catalyst selects from the feedstock and sorbs on itself, first of all, those molecules that are able to dehydrogenate quite easily (give off hydrogen). The resulting unsaturated hydrocarbons, having an increased adsorption capacity, come into contact with the active centers of the catalyst. Polymerization of hydrocarbons occurs, resins and coke appear. The released hydrogen takes an active part in the reactions of hydrocracking, isomerization, etc. The cracked product is enriched with light high-quality hydrocarbons and as a result a wide gasoline fraction and diesel fuel fractions are obtained, which are light oil products. As a result, hydrocarbon gases (20%), gasoline fraction (50%), diesel fraction (20%), heavy gas oil and coke are obtained.

Hydrotreating:

Hydrotreating is carried out on hydrogenating catalysts using

aluminum, cobalt and molybdenum compounds. One of the most important processes in oil refining.

The task of the process is the purification of gasoline, kerosene and diesel fractions, as well as vacuum gas oil from sulfur, nitrogen-containing, tar compounds and oxygen. Hydrotreating plants can be fed with recycled distillates from cracking or coking plants, in which case the olefin hydrogenation process also takes place. The capacity of the installations existing in the Russian Federation ranges from 600 to 3000 thousand tons per year. The hydrogen required for hydrotreating reactions comes from catalytic reformers or is produced in special plants.

The raw material is mixed with hydrogen-containing gas with a concentration of 85-95% by volume, coming from circulating compressors that maintain pressure in the system. The resulting mixture is heated in a furnace to 280--340 °C, depending on the raw material, then enters the reactor. The reaction takes place on catalysts containing nickel, cobalt or molybdenum under pressure up to 50 atm. Under such conditions, the destruction of sulfur and nitrogen-containing compounds with the formation of hydrogen sulfide and ammonia, as well as the saturation of olefins. In the process, due to thermal decomposition, an insignificant (1.5-2%) amount of low-octane gasoline is formed, and 6-8% of the diesel fraction is also formed during the hydrotreatment of vacuum gas oil. In the purified diesel fraction, the sulfur content can be reduced from 1.0% to 0.005% and below. Process gases are subjected to purification in order to extract hydrogen sulfide, which is supplied to the production of elemental sulfur or sulfuric acid.

Formation of finished products:

Gasoline, kerosene, diesel fuel and technical oils are divided into different grades depending on the chemical composition. final stage refinery production is the mixing of the obtained components to obtain the finished product of the required composition. This process is also called compounding or blending.

All production processes oil refineries require special conditions, the use of certain technologies and equipment, which is also important to take into account during construction.

Stages of construction of an oil refinery

The construction of an oil refinery is a process consisting of the following successive stages:

  • 1. Determination of the specifics of the technological component of the future refinery.
  • 2. Choice of location (a site that is most advantageously suitable for a given industrial complex).
  • 3. Preparation of a variety of textual and graphic materials, reflecting in detail the characteristics of the future plant, which is necessary to select a land plot for the construction of a plant specializing in oil refining.
  • 4. Preparation of primary documents required for the preliminary design of the refinery.
  • 5. Development of all necessary project documentation for the construction of an oil refinery.
  • 6. Construction and installation works at the selected site, installation of purchased equipment and organization of commissioning.

In addition to all these stages, an important component of planning refinery construction is also an investment analysis of the financial component of the future plant. And only after finally weighing all the pros and cons, you can take on this project with confidence in its quick payback.

An organization that has made a firm decision about the construction of an oil refinery cannot rely on its own strength, and therefore is forced to involve third-party contractors in the field of design and construction. But it is thanks to their help at the exit that the owner of the plant will be able to really get what will bring him profit. The construction of an oil refinery is a sure step forward in organizing a highly profitable and stable business in Russia.

Trassa Group plans to build a new oil refinery in the Moscow region, according to Izvestia. The project, which is going to be implemented by 2022, includes the construction of production facilities for the production of Euro-5 gasoline. If the plant is built, it will become the first oil refinery in the Moscow region, built since 1938 - it was then that the Moscow Oil Refinery was launched.

The construction of the plant requires a multi-billion dollar investment

Trassa Group of Companies owns the largest independent gas station network in the Moscow region. According to General Director Oleg Alekseenkov, quoted by Izvestia, today there are plans to build a plant capable of processing up to 8 million tons of crude per year. The financial component of the project should be finally determined based on the results of the investment decision, but according to preliminary estimates, the entire plant may cost about 2.5 billion dollars, the first stage - about 50 million rubles.
The investment decision on the construction of the refinery is planned to be formalized in 2016-2018, and construction will begin in 2019. The launch of the first stage of the plant is scheduled for 2022, which will allow reaching a capacity of 4 million tons of oil per year. The refinery will have to produce oil products for sale through the gas station network of the Trassa Group of Companies, which today has fifty gas stations and plans to expand (the network is growing by 7-8 gas stations a year).

According to preliminary information, areas in the Moscow region and on the border with the Moscow region, in particular, in the Kolomensky district, are being considered for the construction of an oil refinery. According to representatives of the district leadership, the territory would indeed be convenient for oil workers, since there is access to water supply and the possibility of connecting to pipelines. However, representatives of the Trassa Group of Companies have not yet applied for a building permit in the Kolomensky District.

However, experts and analysts were very skeptical about the idea of ​​building an oil refinery in the Moscow region. “The idea of ​​building an oil refinery in the Moscow region is not new. But it is difficult to implement it due to the lack of an oil market in Russia: most producing companies have export contracts on prepayment. As a result, we refused to participate in the financing of the project, although we support the idea of ​​establishing an independent refinery in the region. But so far it does not look very realistic, especially against the backdrop of the failure of similar projects in other regions, for example, in 2007, in the coastal city of Kingisepp, the Zarubezhneft project with a capacity of 2 million tons per year and a cost of 3 billion dollars fell through, ”they quote “ Izvestia” by Grigory Sergienko, Executive Director of the Russian Fuel Union.

Izvestia's source at Gazprom Neft said that Trassa Group had not yet entered into a contract with the company for the supply of crude oil, but Gazprom Neft did not give an official comment. Rosneft also refused to comment on the situation. In addition, Trassa Group of Companies has not yet sent a request to the Ministry of Energy for permission to connect to Transneft's oil pipelines.

Expert view

About how justified is the decision to build an oil refinery in the Moscow region, Dmitry Baranov, a leading expert of Finam Management Management Company, told the correspondent of ""
There is no unequivocal answer to the question of the need to build a new refinery or the absence of one. More precisely, the construction of a new refinery in the Moscow region is hardly justified for a number of reasons. The construction of an oil refinery “generally in Central Russia” can be considered as an option.
In MO, land is quite expensive - this is, firstly. Secondly, there is a high population density in the region, which can cause conflicts between this project and the residents of those settlements near which it will be built. In Moscow and the Moscow Region, the level of environmental responsibility of the population is much higher, and the issues of compliance with environmental legislation are also more complicated. Thirdly, the cost of construction and subsequent maintenance of the refinery in the Moscow region will be the highest. Fourthly, from time to time there are ideas about uniting Moscow and the region into a single region, which can radically change the status of this plant, and it is not a fact that in better side. And, finally, taking into account the high solvency of the population of the Moscow agglomeration, almost all the leading VIOCs of the country are represented here, in one form or another, that is, there are no problems with the purchase of fuel and lubricants from either individuals or legal entities, therefore, the creation of a refinery in the Moscow Region may turn out to be too complicated, and perhaps even an unrealizable project at all. It is possible that it will be easier and cheaper to implement a refinery project in some other region of Central Russia, and besides, the saturation of the fuel and lubricants market there may be lower, which will increase the demand for the plant's products and allow it to pay off faster than planned.

Ready-made business plan for the construction of an oil refinery (refinery) with a capacity of 5 million tons per year developed in August 2018 d. specially for the oil refining industry according to the author's methods of ECC "Invest-Project" taking into account international recommendations UNIDO, therefore, it can be used both for internal purposes and for presentation to Russian and foreign banks, investors, partners, authorities.

Settlement date: 22.08.2018.

Payment currency: ruble.

Planning period: 12 years by year.

Planning methodology: UNIDO international recommendations, own methods.

The purpose of the business plan: construction financial model and calculation of key financial, economic and marketing parameters of the project for the construction of an oil refinery (refinery) to confirm it economic efficiency and attraction of investments.

The business plan contains consolidated data on the project, reflects the concept of creating an enterprise and is a technical task for the further development of design and construction documentation, coordination with contractors, investors, and authorities.

Production capacity of the enterprise: before 5 million tons of raw materials per year.

Output Structure

Need of an oil refinery (refinery) for investments

Investment is required to implement the project *** billion rubles from two sources:

    *** billion rubles at the expense of the project owner's own funds ( ** % investment),

    *** billion rubles in the form of a bank loan at a rate 14,0 % per annum ( ** % of investments), repayment of the loan body - from the **-th to the **-th year inclusive, payment of interest - from the moment the tranche is received.

Total term of use borrowed money - ** of the year.

Interest will be charged on the loan *** million rubles

The need of an oil refinery (refinery) for land resources

The size of the site, taking into account fire breaks for the construction of the refinery as a whole, taking into account the commodity park and off-site facilities, is estimated at *** ha.

Project implementation timeline:

    start of implementation: I quarter. 2019,

    refinery design and construction stage: ** years,

    commissioning and start of processing of raw materials: ***,

    reaching design capacity: ***.

Industry Marketing Review

In 2017, oil and gas condensate production in Russia decreased by 0,1 % and amounted to 546,8 million tons As of January 1, 2018, oil and gas condensate (petroleum) production in the territory Russian Federation carried out 288 organizations holding licenses for the right to use subsoil.

In 2017, Russia increased oil exports by 1,1 %, before *** million tons. In 2017, the average annual price for Russian oil in the world market has been established at the level 53,1 dollars / barrel According to Rosstat, the average annual price of oil producers for Russian market in 2017 amounted to *** thousand rubles / t.

According to Rosstat, *** million tons of oil goes for processing - this is ** % of all oil produced.

According to the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, in 2017 Russian refineries produced the following main types of oil products:

  • motor gasoline - *** million tons;
  • diesel fuel - *** million tons;
  • aviation kerosene - *** million tons;
  • fuel oil - *** million tons

In 2017, the depth of oil refining for the first time reached 81,0 %.

In Russia, in 2017, producer prices for motor gasoline increased by 12 % (*** thousand rubles/t), for diesel fuel - by 20 % (*** thousand rubles/ton). Prices for fuel oil and road oil bitumen increased by 59 % and 68 %. The average annual price for fuel oil was *** thousand rubles/t, bitumen cost *** thousand rubles / t.

The average retail price for AI-92 gasoline in 2017 was set at *** rub./l., AI-95 gasoline cost *** rub./l., diesel fuel - *** rub. / l.

The tax component in the final price of each liter of motor fuel sold in the country is about 60 %.

Export of petroleum products in 2017 amounted to 148 million tons

Technical and economic indicators of an oil refinery (refinery)

Prices for the company's products

Products

base price, rub. / t

discount, %

opt. price, rub. / t

revenue, rub. / year

Diesel fuel

Road bitumen

For power generation, losses

Total:

*** billion rubles

Thus, the average annual revenue of the enterprise will be *** billion rubles.

Excises on petroleum products

* According to Art. 193 part 2 of the Tax Code of the Russian Federation from 08/03/2018.

Key figures project

Indicator

Meaning

Production capacity, t / year

Production capacity, t / month

Revenue, rub. / month

Revenue, rub. / year

Cost of production, rub. / t

Average price of products sold, rub. / t

Cost of processing, %

When the production and economic parameters of the business plan for the project are met, the following performance indicators will be achieved.

Project performance indicators

Name of indicator

Meaning

Dimension

General indicators of the project

Total revenue for the planning period

billion rubles

Disposals for current activities

billion rubles

Operating balance

billion rubles

Net profit of the project

billion rubles

Amount of investments

billion rubles

Property on the balance sheet at the end of the planning horizon

billion rubles

Return on sales for the whole project

Net profit margin

Net profit per month at the end of the forecast period

billion rubles / month

Sales at the end of the forecast period

billion rubles / month

Indicators for the lender / lender

Amount of own funds

million rubles

Amount of borrowed funds

billion rubles

Total funding

***

billion rubles

Attitude equity to borrowed (D/E)

Loan rate (in nominal prices)

Accrued interest on loans

million rubles

Duration of repayment of the loan body

months

Loan terms

interval, years

Investment indicators of the project

Discount rate, annual

Discount rate, monthly

NPV of the project at the time of its inception

billion rubles

Project PI

once

Project IRR

Payback period (undiscounted)

interval, years

Payback period (discounted)

interval, years

Net present value(Net Present Value, NPV) of the project for the forecast period is *** billion rubles at discount rate 14,0 % per year (1.10% per month). When assessing the NPV value, it is important to take into account that the project is being implemented beyond the planning horizon.

Project Profitability Index, or the coefficient of return on investment funds (Payback Investments, PI) = ***. This means that for every ruble invested, the project will generate over the forecast period *** rub. (including discounting).

Internal rate of return(Internal Rate of Return, IRR) - ***%. This indicator demonstrates the sustainability of the project in relation to possible growth discount rates, CMR and risks.

Ready-made business plan for an oil refinery (refinery) 153 pages, 44 tables, 34 graphic arts, 14 diagrams and 6 drawings.

Buy ready-made or order an individual business plan for the construction of an oil refinery (refinery): +7 (495) 617.39.02.

A completed business plan can be modified for the project:

  1. on power(1, 2, 3 or 10 million tons per year);
  2. on place location of the plant (Bryansk, Volgograd, Samara, Orenburg, Irkutsk regions, Krasnoyarsk, Krasnodar or Perm regions, Tatarstan, Bashkiria, YNAO, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan);
  3. by output structure products;
  4. at the cost of purchasing raw oil;
  5. by source and terms of financing, etc.

2. MARKETING REVIEW OF THE MARKET

2.1. Inflation and GDP in Russia, 2003-2020

2.2. Analysis of the oil market in the Russian Federation

2.2.1. Oil production in Russia

2.2.2. The main regions of oil production in the Russian Federation

2.2.3. Production capacity for oil production

2.2.4. Oil resources of the Russian Federation

2.2.5. Export of crude oil

2.2.6. Oil prices

2.3. Classification of petroleum products

2.4. The market of oil products in the Russian Federation

2.4.1. Production of petroleum products

2.4.2. Producer prices for petroleum products

2.4.3. Retail prices for petroleum products

2.4.4. Export of petroleum products

2.5. Oil refineries in Russia

2.6. TOP-10 Russian refineries

2.7. Register of Russian refineries

2.8. Modernization of refineries in the Russian Federation

2.9. Modernization of the ROSNEFT refinery

2.9.1. JSC "Kuibyshev Refinery"

2.9.2. RN-Tuapse Refinery

2.9.3. Achinsk Oil Refinery VNK

2.9.4. RN-Komsomolsk Refinery

2.9.5. Saratov Oil Refinery

2.9.6. Ryazan Oil Refining Company

2.10. Refineries under construction and put into operation after 2000

2.10.1. JSC "Taneco"

2.10.2. Antipinsky Oil Refinery

2.10.3. Ilsky oil refinery

2.10.4. Novoshakhtinsk Oil Products Plant

2.10.5. Anzherska oil and gas company

2.10.6. Volkhov Oil Refinery

2.10.7. Yenisey LLC (Usinsky Oil Refinery)

2.10.8. OOO VPK-Oil (Kochenevsky Oil Refinery)

2.11. Structure of an oil refinery

3. PRODUCTION PLAN

3.1. Production parameters project

3.2. Oil refining plan

3.3. revenue plan

3.4. Operating cost parameters

3.5. Parameters of direct production costs

4. PROJECT STAFF

4.1. Need for staff and payroll

5. INVESTMENT PLAN

5.1. Structure and volume of necessary investments

5.2. Calendar plan project financing and implementation

6. ASSESSMENT OF RISKS AND WAYS TO REDUCE THEM

6.1. Qualitative Analysis risks

6.2. Breakeven point

6.3. NPV sensitivity analysis

7. FINANCIAL PLAN OF THE PROJECT

7.1. Basic assumptions for calculations

7.2. Movement plan Money(cash flow)

7.3. Profit and loss plan (PLO)

7.4. Excises on petroleum products

7.5. Refinery taxation

7.6. Investor income forecast

7.7. Project owner income forecast

7.8. The financial analysis project

8. ABOUT THE BUSINESS PLAN DEVELOPER

Total 153 pages, 44 tables, 34 graphic arts, 14 diagrams and 6 drawings.

LIST OF TABLES, GRAPHS, CHARTS

List of tables

Table 1. The structure of output.

Table 2. Prices for the company's products.

Table 3. Excises on petroleum products.

Table 4. Key indicators of the project.

Table 5. Processing of raw materials and output of products (t / year.).

Table 6. Structure of investments.

Table 7. Distribution of tax deductions by budget levels.

Table 8. Project performance indicators.

Table 9 Major companies for oil production in the Russian Federation, 2017, million tons.

Table 10. Key indicators for the oil resources of the Russian Federation.

Table 11. List of oil and condensate fields in Russia.

Table 12. Crude oil exports in value and in kind, 2010-2017.

Table 13. World oil prices and natural gas in 2010-2017, USD/bbl

Table 14. Average producer prices for oil by federal districts, 2013-2018, RUB/t

Table 15. Production and refining of oil in Russia in 2010-2017

Table 16. Production of main oil products in the Russian Federation, 2012-2017, thousand tons.

Table 17. Average annual producer prices for the main oil products, rub./tn.

Table 18. Average producer prices for refined products in the Russian Federation, 2012-2017, rub. / t.

Table 19. Retail fuel prices, 2012-2018, rub. / l.

Table 20. Export of petroleum products in value and physical terms, 2010-2017

Table 21. TOP-10 Russian refineries in 2017.

Table 22

Table 23. The program of modernization of the refinery of the company "NK Rosneft".

Table 24. Project parameters.

Table 25. Plan for the production of petroleum products, 2019-2030, tons

Table 26. Revenue plan by years.

Table 27. Parameters of current costs.

Table 28. Plan of current expenses by years.

Table 29. Parameters of direct costs.

Table 30. Plan of direct costs by years.

Table 31. Refinery and payroll personnel.

Table 32. Structure of investments.

Table 33. Schedule of financing and implementation of the project.

Table 35. Calculation of the break-even point.

Table 36. Sensitivity of NPV to changes in key project parameters.

Table 37. Cash flow plan by years.

Table 38. Profit and loss plan by years.

Table 39. Excise rates for petroleum products.

Table 40. Taxation for the planning period by years.

Table 41. Plan for obtaining and returning funding.

Table 42. Investment performance indicators.

Table 43. Calculation of the NPV of the project.

Table 44. Financial analysis of the project (year 12).

List of charts

Graph 1. Production plan (t / year).

Chart 2. Dynamics of receipt of proceeds (rubles / year).

Chart 3. Dynamics of current costs.

Graph 4. Dynamics of direct costs.

Chart 5. Dynamics of net profit.

Chart 6. Collection and repayment of debt.

Graph 7. NPV of the project and undiscounted cash flow.

Chart 8. Dynamics of inflation and GDP in Russia, 2003-2020 (forecast), %.

Chart 9. Oil production in the Russian Federation, million tons

Graph 10. Dynamics of crude oil exports in physical terms, 2010 - 2016, t.

Chart 11. Dynamics of average prices for crude oil in the Russian Federation, 2013-2018, RUB/ton

Chart 12. Dynamics of primary oil refining in the Russian Federation, 2010-2017, million tons

Chart 13. Depth of crude oil refining in the Russian Federation, 2010-2016, %.

Chart 14. Change in average annual producer prices for basic oil products, rub. / tn.

Chart 15. Dynamics of average producer prices for basic oil products, 2012-2017, rubles per ton.

Chart 16. Dynamics of retail fuel prices in the Russian Federation, 2012 - 2018, rub. / l.

Chart 17. Dynamics of exports of petroleum products in physical terms, 2010-2017, tons

Chart 18. Dynamics of exports of petroleum products in value terms, 2010-2017, million USD

Chart 19. Capital expenditures for the modernization of leading oil refineries.

Chart 20. Plan for the commissioning of installations that affect the depth of processing, 2014-2020.

Chart 21. Dynamics of production (t/year).

Chart 22. Dynamics of revenue receipt.

Chart 23. Dynamics of current costs, rub.

Chart 24. Dynamics of direct costs, rub.

Chart 25. Calculation of the break-even point.

Chart 26. Sensitivity of NPV to changes in key project parameters.

Chart 27. Revenue, costs, profit.

Chart 28. Dynamics of net profit.

Chart 29. Financial results.

Chart 30. Collection and repayment of debt.

Chart 31. Debt service.

Chart 32. Sensitivity of NPV to the discount rate.

Chart 33. NPV of the project and undiscounted cash flow.

Chart 34. Payments to the investor on an accrual basis.

List of diagrams

Diagram 1. Revenue structure.

Diagram 2. Distribution of crude oil production between Russian oil companies, 2017,%.

Diagram 3. Distribution of oil production by federal districts, 2017, %.

Diagram 4. Structure of production of main oil products in the Russian Federation, 2017, %.

Diagram 5. Population dynamics vehicles in the Russian Federation, 2010-2017, units

Diagram 6. The structure of the output of petroleum products by the number of producers.

Diagram 7. The structure of output (tons).

Diagram 8. Output volumes (t/year).

Diagram 9. Refinery revenue structure, rub.

Diagram 10. Structure of current costs.

Diagram 11. Structure of direct costs.

Diagram 12. Structure of initial investments.

Diagram 13. Structure of tax deductions.

Diagram 14. Structure of costs in the 12th year of the project implementation.

List of drawings

Figure 1. Refinery block diagram.

Figure 2. Oil reserves in Russia.

Figure 3. Development oil industry in 2017.

Figure 4. Crude oil and refined products.

Figure 5. Map of Russian oil refining.

Figure 6. Block diagram of the complex of oil refineries and petrochemical plants of TANECO JSC.

Total 153 pages, 44 tables, 34 graphic arts, 14 diagrams and 6 drawings.